United States

538 Electoral Votes

Current Polling Average

Kamala Harris 48.3%
Donald Trump 49.8%
Rating: Tilt R
Margin: D+1.5
Final 2024 Election Results

All Polls from 2024 (186)

Pollster Date Sample Kamala Harris Donald Trump Margin
Harvard-Harris
RV
Dec 15
Dec 14 - Dec 15
1,851 40.0% 46.0% R+6.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Dec 2
Nov 30 - Dec 2
1,989 41.0% 50.0% R+9.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Nov 17
Nov 16 - Nov 17
2,212 40.0% 47.0% R+7.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Nov 16
Nov 15 - Nov 16
2,851 40.0% 52.0% R+12.0
FOX News
RV
Nov 13
Nov 10 - Nov 13
1,001
±3.0%
45.0% 50.0% R+5.0
TIPP
LV
Nov 4
Nov 2 - Nov 4
1,863
±2.3%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Nov 4
Nov 3 - Nov 4
2,703
±2.0%
49.0% 50.0% R+1.0
TIPP
LV
Nov 4
Nov 2 - Nov 4
1,863
±2.3%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Nov 4
Nov 3 - Nov 4
2,703
±2.0%
49.0% 50.0% R+1.0
Ipsos
LV
Nov 3
Nov 1 - Nov 3
973
±3.4%
50.0% 48.0% D+2.0
Ipsos
LV
Nov 3
Nov 1 - Nov 3
973
±3.4%
50.0% 48.0% D+2.0
New York Post
LV
Nov 3
Oct 31 - Nov 3
886
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
New York Post
LV
Nov 3
Oct 31 - Nov 3
886
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Nov 2
Nov 1 - Nov 2
2,463
±2.0%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
Forbes/HarrisX
LV
Nov 2
Oct 30 - Nov 2
3,759
±1.6%
51.0% 49.0% D+2.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
LV
Nov 2
Oct 31 - Nov 2
1,297
±3.5%
51.0% 47.0% D+4.0
Forbes/HarrisX
LV
Nov 2
Oct 30 - Nov 2
3,759
±1.6%
51.0% 49.0% D+2.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
LV
Nov 2
Oct 31 - Nov 2
1,297
±3.5%
51.0% 47.0% D+4.0
NBC News
RV
Nov 2
Oct 30 - Nov 2
1,000
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
Emerson
LV
Nov 2
Oct 30 - Nov 2
1,000
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
NBC News
RV
Nov 2
Oct 30 - Nov 2
1,000
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
Emerson
LV
Nov 2
Oct 30 - Nov 2
1,000
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Oct 31
Oct 30 - Oct 31
3,490
±2.0%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
Yahoo News
LV
Oct 31
Oct 29 - Oct 31
1,074 49.0% 48.0% D+1.0
Morning Consult
LV
Oct 31
Oct 29 - Oct 31
8,919
±1.0%
49.0% 47.0% D+2.0
Yahoo News
LV
Oct 31
Oct 29 - Oct 31
1,074 49.0% 48.0% D+1.0
Morning Consult
LV
Oct 31
Oct 29 - Oct 31
8,919
±1.0%
49.0% 47.0% D+2.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Oct 29
Oct 10 - Oct 29
12,546
±2.0%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
Forbes/HarrisX
LV
Oct 29
Oct 27 - Oct 29
3,718
±1.5%
51.0% 49.0% D+2.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Oct 29
Oct 10 - Oct 29
12,546
±2.0%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Oct 29
Oct 25 - Oct 29
3,032
±2.0%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
Reuters/Ipsos
Oct 27
Oct 25 - Oct 27
47.0% 46.0% D+1.0
Morning Consult
LV
Oct 27
Oct 25 - Oct 27
8,807
±1.0%
50.0% 47.0% D+3.0
CBS News
LV
Oct 25
Oct 23 - Oct 25
2,161
±2.6%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
CBS News
LV
Oct 25
Oct 23 - Oct 25
2,161
±2.6%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
Emerson
LV
Oct 24
Oct 23 - Oct 24
1,000
±3.0%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Oct 23
Oct 20 - Oct 23
2,516
±2.2%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Oct 23
Oct 20 - Oct 23
2,516
±2.2%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Wall Street Journal
RV
Oct 22
Oct 19 - Oct 22
1,500
±2.5%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
Wall Street Journal
RV
Oct 22
Oct 19 - Oct 22
1,500
±2.5%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
Forbes/HarrisX
LV
Oct 21
Oct 20 - Oct 21
1,244
±2.8%
49.0% 51.0% R+2.0
Reuters/Ipsos
LV
Oct 21
Oct 16 - Oct 21
3,307
±2.0%
48.0% 45.0% D+3.0
Morning Consult
LV
Oct 20
Oct 18 - Oct 20
8,570
±1.0%
50.0% 46.0% D+4.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Oct 19
Oct 18 - Oct 19
2,116
±2.0%
41.0% 48.0% R+7.0
CNBC
RV
Oct 19
Oct 15 - Oct 19
1,000
±3.1%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
CNBC
RV
Oct 19
Oct 15 - Oct 19
1,000
±3.1%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
USA Today/Suffolk
LV
Oct 18
Oct 14 - Oct 18
1,000
±3.1%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
USA Today/Suffolk
LV
Oct 18
Oct 14 - Oct 18
1,000
±3.1%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Oct 17
Oct 12 - Oct 17
4,180
±2.0%
48.0% 51.0% R+3.0
Emerson
LV
Oct 16
Oct 14 - Oct 16
1,000
±3.0%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
FOX News
LV
Oct 14
Oct 11 - Oct 14
870
±3.0%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
FOX News
LV
Oct 14
Oct 11 - Oct 14
870
±3.0%
48.0% 50.0% R+2.0
Reuters/Ipsos
LV
Oct 13
Oct 11 - Oct 13
769
±4.0%
47.0% 44.0% D+3.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Oct 13
Oct 11 - Oct 13
2,010 38.0% 49.0% R+11.0
Morning Consult
LV
Oct 13
Oct 11 - Oct 13
8,647
±1.0%
50.0% 46.0% D+4.0
HarrisX
RV
Oct 11
Oct 9 - Oct 11
2,010
±2.2%
51.0% 49.0% D+2.0
Federalist/Susquehanna
LV
Oct 11
Oct 4 - Oct 11
800
±3.4%
54.0% 39.0% D+15.0
CBS News
LV
Oct 11
Oct 8 - Oct 11
2,719
±2.3%
51.0% 48.0% D+3.0
Marquette
LV
Oct 10
Oct 1 - Oct 10
699
±4.7%
50.0% 50.0% R+0.0
Marist
LV
Oct 10
Oct 8 - Oct 10
1,401
±3.9%
52.0% 47.0% D+5.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Oct 9
Oct 3 - Oct 9
2,244
±2.0%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
NBC News
RV
Oct 8
Oct 4 - Oct 8
1,000
±3.1%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Reuters/Ipsos
LV
Oct 7
Oct 4 - Oct 7
969
±3.0%
51.0% 49.0% D+2.0
Pew Research
RV
Oct 6
Sep 30 - Oct 6
4,025
±1.9%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Oct 6
Sep 29 - Oct 6
3,385 49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
Morning Consult
LV
Oct 6
Oct 4 - Oct 6
11,353
±1.0%
51.0% 46.0% D+5.0
Yahoo News
LV
Oct 4
Oct 2 - Oct 4
1,033 48.0% 47.0% D+1.0
I&I/TIPP
LV
Oct 4
Oct 2 - Oct 4
997
±3.2%
49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
Data for Progress (D)**
LV
Oct 3
Oct 2 - Oct 3
1,211
±3.0%
49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Oct 2
Sep 26 - Oct 2
1,762
±2.0%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Susquehanna
LV
Oct 1
Sep 23 - Oct 1
1,001
±3.2%
49.0% 44.0% D+5.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
LV
Oct 1
Sep 27 - Oct 1
1,294
±3.7%
50.0% 48.0% D+2.0
Emerson
LV
Oct 1
Sep 29 - Oct 1
1,000
±3.0%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
Ipsos
LV
Sep 30
Sep 25 - Sep 30
1,313
±2.9%
50.0% 47.0% D+3.0
Morning Consult
LV
Sep 29
Sep 27 - Sep 29
11,381
±1.0%
51.0% 46.0% D+5.0
New York Post
LV
Sep 29
Sep 27 - Sep 29
851
±3.1%
51.0% 47.0% D+4.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Sep 25
Sep 19 - Sep 25
1,820
±2.0%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
Reuters/Ipsos
LV
Sep 23
Sep 21 - Sep 23
785
±4.0%
50.0% 44.0% D+6.0
Quinnipiac
LV
Sep 22
Sep 19 - Sep 22
1,728
±2.4%
48.0% 48.0% R+0.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Sep 22
Sep 21 - Sep 22
1,000
±3.0%
39.0% 52.0% R+13.0
CNN*
LV
Sep 22
Sep 19 - Sep 22
2,074
±3.0%
48.0% 47.0% D+1.0
Morning Consult
LV
Sep 22
Sep 20 - Sep 22
11,057
±1.0%
50.0% 45.0% D+5.0
CBS News
LV
Sep 20
Sep 18 - Sep 20
3,121
±2.2%
52.0% 48.0% D+4.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Sep 18
Sep 12 - Sep 18
1,855
±2.0%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
NBC News
RV
Sep 17
Sep 13 - Sep 17
1,000
±3.1%
49.0% 44.0% D+5.0
GWU/HarrisX
RV
Sep 16
Sep 14 - Sep 16
1,505
±2.5%
51.0% 49.0% D+2.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Sep 16
Sep 11 - Sep 16
2,437
±3.8%
47.0% 47.0% R+0.0
FOX News
LV
Sep 16
Sep 13 - Sep 16
876
±3.0%
50.0% 48.0% D+2.0
Morning Consult
LV
Sep 15
Sep 13 - Sep 15
11,022
±1.0%
51.0% 45.0% D+6.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Sep 14
Sep 12 - Sep 14
2,103 40.0% 46.0% R+6.0
TIPP
RV
Sep 13
Sep 11 - Sep 13
1,721
±2.6%
47.0% 43.0% D+4.0
Data for Progress (D)**
LV
Sep 13
Sep 12 - Sep 13
1,283
±3.0%
50.0% 46.0% D+4.0
Forbes/HarrisX
RV
Sep 13
Sep 11 - Sep 13
3,018
±1.8%
52.0% 48.0% D+4.0
Yahoo News
LV
Sep 13
Sep 11 - Sep 13
1,090 50.0% 46.0% D+4.0
ABC News/Ipsos
RV
Sep 13
Sep 11 - Sep 13
2,772
±2.0%
51.0% 47.0% D+4.0
Reuters/Ipsos
RV
Sep 12
Sep 11 - Sep 12
1,405
±3.0%
47.0% 42.0% D+5.0
Atlas Intel
LV
Sep 12
Sep 11 - Sep 12
1,775
±2.0%
48.0% 51.0% R+3.0
New York Post
LV
Sep 11
Sep 10 - Sep 11
1,174
±2.7%
50.0% 47.0% D+3.0
Morning Consult
LV
Sep 11
Sep 11 - Sep 11
3,317
±3.0%
50.0% 45.0% D+5.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Sep 11
Sep 5 - Sep 11
2,390
±3.0%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Morning Consult
LV
Sep 8
Sep 6 - Sep 8
10,607
±1.0%
49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Sep 6
Sep 3 - Sep 6
1,695
±3.0%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
RV
Sep 5
Sep 3 - Sep 5
1,413
±3.3%
49.0% 48.0% D+1.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Sep 5
Sep 4 - Sep 5
2,358
±2.1%
50.0% 50.0% R+0.0
Emerson
LV
Sep 4
Sep 3 - Sep 4
1,000
±2.9%
49.0% 47.0% D+2.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Sep 4
Aug 29 - Sep 4
1,838
±3.0%
46.0% 47.0% R+1.0
Morning Consult
LV
Sep 4
Sep 2 - Sep 4
11,414
±1.0%
49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
Pew Research
RV
Sep 2
Aug 26 - Sep 2
8,044
±1.4%
49.0% 49.0% R+0.0
I&I/TIPP
RV
Aug 30
Aug 28 - Aug 30
1,386
±2.8%
48.0% 45.0% D+3.0
Wall Street Journal
RV
Aug 28
Aug 24 - Aug 28
1,500
±2.5%
48.0% 47.0% D+1.0
Reuters/Ipsos
RV
Aug 28
Aug 21 - Aug 28
3,562
±1.7%
45.0% 41.0% D+4.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Aug 28
Aug 22 - Aug 28
1,893
±3.0%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
ABC News/Ipsos
Aug 27
Aug 23 - Aug 27
50.0% 46.0% D+4.0
Quinnipiac
LV
Aug 27
Aug 23 - Aug 27
1,611
±2.4%
49.0% 48.0% D+1.0
Yahoo News
RV
Aug 26
Aug 22 - Aug 26
1,194
±3.0%
47.0% 46.0% D+1.0
Morning Consult
RV
Aug 25
Aug 23 - Aug 25
7,818
±1.0%
48.0% 44.0% D+4.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Aug 21
Aug 15 - Aug 21
1,893
±3.0%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
Morning Consult
RV
Aug 18
Aug 16 - Aug 18
11,501
±1.0%
48.0% 44.0% D+4.0
CBS News
LV
Aug 16
Aug 14 - Aug 16
3,258
±2.1%
51.0% 48.0% D+3.0
Data for Progress (D)**
LV
Aug 15
Aug 1 - Aug 15
6,067
±1.0%
49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
Emerson
RV
Aug 14
Aug 12 - Aug 14
1,000
±3.0%
50.0% 46.0% D+4.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Aug 14
Aug 8 - Aug 14
1,885
±2.0%
45.0% 49.0% R+4.0
ABC News/Wash Post
RV
Aug 13
Aug 9 - Aug 13
1,901
±2.5%
49.0% 45.0% D+4.0
FOX News
RV
Aug 12
Aug 9 - Aug 12
1,105
±3.0%
49.0% 50.0% R+1.0
Pew Research
RV
Aug 11
Aug 5 - Aug 11
7,569
±1.4%
46.0% 45.0% D+1.0
Morning Consult
RV
Aug 11
Aug 9 - Aug 11
11,778
±1.0%
47.0% 44.0% D+3.0
Ipsos
RV
Aug 7
Aug 2 - Aug 7
1,342
±3.0%
49.0% 47.0% D+2.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Aug 7
Aug 1 - Aug 7
1,794
±2.0%
44.0% 49.0% R+5.0
CNBC
RV
Aug 4
Jul 31 - Aug 4
1,001
±3.1%
46.0% 48.0% R+2.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
RV
Aug 4
Aug 1 - Aug 4
1,513
±3.4%
51.0% 48.0% D+3.0
SurveyUSA
LV
Aug 4
Aug 2 - Aug 4
1,510
±2.4%
48.0% 45.0% D+3.0
Morning Consult
RV
Aug 4
Aug 2 - Aug 4
11,265
±1.0%
48.0% 44.0% D+4.0
HarrisX
RV
Aug 3
Aug 2 - Aug 3
1,011
±3.1%
49.0% 51.0% R+2.0
I&I/TIPP
RV
Aug 2
Jul 31 - Aug 2
1,326
±2.9%
46.0% 45.0% D+1.0
CBS News
RV
Aug 2
Jul 30 - Aug 2
3,102
±2.1%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
Marquette
RV
Aug 1
Jul 24 - Aug 1
879
±4.1%
52.0% 48.0% D+4.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Jul 31
Jul 24 - Jul 31
2,163
±2.0%
44.0% 49.0% R+5.0
Daily Kos/Civiqs
RV
Jul 30
Jul 27 - Jul 30
1,123
±3.0%
49.0% 45.0% D+4.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Jul 28
Jul 26 - Jul 28
1,885 40.0% 47.0% R+7.0
Morning Consult
RV
Jul 28
Jul 26 - Jul 28
11,538
±1.0%
47.0% 46.0% D+1.0
Reuters/Ipsos
RV
Jul 28
Jul 26 - Jul 28
879
±3.5%
43.0% 42.0% D+1.0
Wall Street Journal
RV
Jul 25
Jul 23 - Jul 25
1,000
±3.1%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Forbes/HarrisX
RV
Jul 25
Jul 22 - Jul 25
3,013
±1.8%
49.0% 51.0% R+2.0
NY Times/Siena
LV
Jul 24
Jul 22 - Jul 24
1,142
±3.3%
47.0% 48.0% R+1.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Jul 24
Jul 22 - Jul 24
1,074
±3.0%
43.0% 50.0% R+7.0
Morning Consult
RV
Jul 24
Jul 22 - Jul 24
11,297
±1.0%
46.0% 45.0% D+1.0
Reuters/Ipsos
RV
Jul 23
Jul 22 - Jul 23
1,018
±3.0%
44.0% 42.0% D+2.0
CNN
RV
Jul 23
Jul 22 - Jul 23
1,631
±3.0%
46.0% 49.0% R+3.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
RV
Jul 22
Jul 22 - Jul 22
1,117
±3.5%
45.0% 46.0% R+1.0
Yahoo News
RV
Jul 22
Jul 19 - Jul 22
1,178
±2.8%
46.0% 46.0% R+0.0
Morning Consult
RV
Jul 22
Jul 21 - Jul 22
4,001
±2.0%
45.0% 47.0% R+2.0
Forbes/HarrisX
RV
Jul 21
Jul 19 - Jul 21
2,753
±1.9%
47.0% 53.0% R+6.0
Quinnipiac
RV
Jul 21
Jul 19 - Jul 21
1,257
±2.8%
47.0% 49.0% R+2.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Jul 20
Jul 19 - Jul 20
2,068 38.0% 47.0% R+9.0
CBS News
LV
Jul 18
Jul 16 - Jul 18
2,247
±2.7%
48.0% 51.0% R+3.0
Reuters/Ipsos
RV
Jul 16
Jul 15 - Jul 16
992
±3.5%
44.0% 44.0% R+0.0
Forbes/HarrisX
RV
Jul 15
Jul 13 - Jul 15
1,918
±2.2%
48.0% 52.0% R+4.0
Morning Consult
RV
Jul 15
Jul 15 - Jul 15
2,045
±2.0%
45.0% 46.0% R+1.0
FOX News
RV
Jul 10
Jul 7 - Jul 10
1,210
±3.0%
48.0% 49.0% R+1.0
NPR/PBS/Marist
RV
Jul 10
Jul 9 - Jul 10
1,174
±3.3%
50.0% 49.0% D+1.0
ABC News/Wash Post
RV
Jul 9
Jul 5 - Jul 9
2,041
±2.0%
49.0% 47.0% D+2.0
NBC News
RV
Jul 9
Jul 7 - Jul 9
800
±3.5%
45.0% 47.0% R+2.0
Emerson
RV
Jul 8
Jul 7 - Jul 8
1,370
±2.6%
43.0% 49.0% R+6.0
Reuters/Ipsos
RV
Jul 2
Jul 1 - Jul 2
892
±3.5%
42.0% 43.0% R+1.0
Yahoo News
RV
Jul 1
Jun 28 - Jul 1
1,171
±2.9%
45.0% 47.0% R+2.0
Forbes/HarrisX
RV
Jun 30
Jun 28 - Jun 30
1,500
±2.5%
47.0% 53.0% R+6.0
CNN
RV
Jun 30
Jun 28 - Jun 30
1,045
±3.7%
45.0% 47.0% R+2.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Jun 29
Jun 28 - Jun 29
1,308 39.0% 45.0% R+6.0
Data for Progress (D)**
LV
Jun 28
Jun 28 - Jun 28
1,011
±3.0%
45.0% 48.0% R+3.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Jun 15
Jun 14 - Jun 15
2,090 40.0% 47.0% R+7.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
May 19
May 18 - May 19
1,963 40.0% 47.0% R+7.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
May 18
May 17 - May 18
2,004 39.0% 50.0% R+11.0
Federalist/Susquehanna
LV
Apr 27
Apr 19 - Apr 27
800
±3.5%
49.0% 46.0% D+3.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Apr 21
Apr 20 - Apr 21
1,966 41.0% 47.0% R+6.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Apr 19
Apr 18 - Apr 19
1,845 38.0% 48.0% R+10.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Mar 24
Mar 23 - Mar 24
1,990 38.0% 49.0% R+11.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Mar 23
Mar 22 - Mar 23
2,905 38.0% 48.0% R+10.0
Yahoo News
RV
Feb 27
Feb 23 - Feb 27
1,014
±2.7%
42.0% 45.0% R+3.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Feb 24
Feb 23 - Feb 24
2,026 39.0% 51.0% R+12.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Feb 16
Feb 15 - Feb 16
1,838 39.0% 49.0% R+10.0
Emerson
RV
Feb 14
Feb 13 - Feb 14
1,225
±2.7%
43.0% 46.0% R+3.0
Rasmussen Reports
LV
Feb 12
Feb 8 - Feb 12
900
±3.0%
42.0% 45.0% R+3.0
PPP (D)
RV
Feb 11
Feb 10 - Feb 11
1,056 47.0% 47.0% R+0.0
Federalist/Susquehanna
LV
Feb 9
Feb 3 - Feb 9
800
±3.4%
46.0% 45.0% D+1.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Jan 20
Jan 19 - Jan 20
1,815 39.0% 49.0% R+10.0
Harvard-Harris
RV
Jan 19
Jan 18 - Jan 19
2,050 40.0% 48.0% R+8.0

About This Data

Poll averages are calculated using the most recent 10 days of polling data. All polls are weighted equally in the average. Ratings are assigned based on the polling margin between the two major party candidates.