Tennessee Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Primary election: Thursday, August 6, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Bill Hagerty
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid R

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe R

Candidates

Bill Hagerty

Bill Hagerty Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $7,010,097
Cash on Hand: $5,649,494

Maria Brewer

Democrat
Total Raised: $7,460
Cash on Hand: $5,838

David Sutman Jr.

Independent
Total Raised: $9,149
Cash on Hand: $500

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 Tennessee Senate race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 Tennessee Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term Class II incumbent (Blackburn, running for governor, holds the 2030 seat)

Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago

$735,609
Total IE Spending
$735,609
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News