Ohio Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 1 Special Election
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Primary held May 5, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Sherrod Brown 712,106 89.4%
Ron Kincaid 84,405 10.6%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Jon Husted 736,413 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jon Husted
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean D our polls experts: Lean R
Special Note
Vance seat - appointed Jon Husted
Polls
4 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+3.0 · 4 polls
⚑ Our polls diverge from the expert consensus — the story to watch.

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean R

Inside Elections

Tilt R
Changed from Likely R on Feb 1

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans R
Changed from Lean R on Feb 1

Candidates

Jon Husted

Jon Husted Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $14,360,028
Cash on Hand: $9,419,311
Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $38,566,234
Cash on Hand: $16,229,741

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
48.5%
Republican
45.5%
Margin
D+3.0
Last Poll
Jun 28, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 2026-06-28 601 LV ±4.70 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 50.00%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) ±1.9 2026-06-16 800 LV ±3.50 Sherrod Brown 48.00% Jon Husted 45.00%
Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D 2026-06-04 600 LV ±4.00 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 42.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Ohio Senate race?

Sherrod Brown leads Jon Husted 48.5% to 45.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.0 margin based on 4 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Ohio Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Lean R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Ohio Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from New York Times/Siena University (completed June 28, 2026), found Sherrod Brown (D) at 47% and Jon Husted (R) at 50%.

When is the 2026 Ohio Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This is a special election.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Vance vacated for VP; Husted appointed

Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago

$6,861,568
Total IE Spending
$3,202,483
Support
$3,659,085
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News