Nebraska Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Primary held May 12, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Cindy Burbank 110,210 89.5%
William Forbes 12,863 10.5%

Legal Marijuana Now Primary

CandidateVotes%
Mike Marvin 829 66.4%
Earl Starkey 420 33.6%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Pete Ricketts 160,547 81.5%
Todd Knobel 15,921 8.1%
Debb Axtel Schultz 11,735 6.0%
Mac Stevens 5,204 2.6%
Eric Mortimore 3,667 1.9%

Full calendar and every race: Nebraska primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Pete Ricketts
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean D our polls experts: Lean R
Polls
1 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+5.0 · 1 polls
⚑ Our polls diverge from the expert consensus — the story to watch.

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean R

Inside Elections

Lean R

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans R
Changed from Likely R on Feb 1

Candidates

Pete Ricketts

Pete Ricketts Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $11,233,507
Cash on Hand: $6,910,970

Cindy Burbank Nominee

O
Total Raised: $39,712
Cash on Hand: $20,766

Mike Marvin Nominee

O
Total Raised: $27,745
Cash on Hand: $2,616

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
47.0%
Republican
42.0%
Margin
D+5.0
Last Poll
May 11, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Tavern Research (D) partisan·D 2026-05-11 1165 LV ±3.50 Cindy Burbank 47.00% Pete Ricketts 42.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?

Cindy Burbank leads Pete Ricketts 47% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Nebraska Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Lean R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nebraska Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Tavern Research (D) (completed May 11, 2026), found Cindy Burbank (D) at 47% and Pete Ricketts (R) at 42%.

When is the 2026 Nebraska Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Appointed 2023; first full term election

Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago

$1,917,046
Total IE Spending
$1,549,731
Support
$367,315
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News