Primary
Primary held March 3, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Cuellar ✓ | 39,228 | 58.1% | |
| Ricardo Villarreal | 24,968 | 37.0% | |
| Andrew Vantine | 3,375 | 5.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tano Tijerina ✓ | 12,514 | 74.3% | |
| Eileen Day | 4,319 | 25.7% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Henry Cuellar Nominee Incumbent
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulse Science Decision (R) partisan·R | 2026-06-23 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Henry Cuellar 38.00% | Tano Tijerina 46.00% |
| Pulse Science Decision partisan·R | 2026-06-23 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Henry Cuellar 38.00% | Tano Tijerina 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-28 House race?
Tano Tijerina leads Henry Cuellar 46% to 38% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+8.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 TX-28 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-28 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Pulse Science Decision (R) (completed June 23, 2026), found Henry Cuellar (D) at 38% and Tano Tijerina (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 TX-28 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago
Top Spenders
- J STREET ACTION FUND $39,386
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $10,387
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