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North Carolina District 3

NC-03 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held March 3, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Raymond Smith Jr. 23,552 56.7%
Allison Jaslow 18,020 43.3%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Greg Murphy 0 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Greg Murphy
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Likely R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Greg Murphy Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $2,357,956
Cash on Hand: $2,697,820

Raymond Smith Jr. Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $223,119
Cash on Hand: $73,711

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 NC-03 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 NC-03 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago

$68,905
Total IE Spending
$6,768
Support
$62,138
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.