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Florida District 15

FL-15 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Laurel Lee
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+10

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Laurel Lee

Laurel Lee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $2,289,998
Cash on Hand: $1,943,656

Darren McAuley

Democrat
Total Raised: $683,789
Cash on Hand: $241,809

Kimberly Overman

Democrat
Total Raised: $179,655
Cash on Hand: $9,552

Robert People

Democrat
Total Raised: $38,496
Cash on Hand: $1,926

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-15 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-15 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.