Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 TOMORROW
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington Petts (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-11 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | JoAnna Mendoza 47.00% | Juan Ciscomani 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AZ-06 House race?
Joanna Mendoza leads Juan Ciscomani 47% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 AZ-06 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AZ-06 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Normington Petts (D) (completed June 11, 2026), found JoAnna Mendoza (D) at 47% and Juan Ciscomani (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 AZ-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago
Top Spenders
- YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC $6,476
- INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. $4,431
- HMP $4,250
- WESTERN STATES REGIONAL COUNCIL OF CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT CMTE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS & JOINERS OF AMERICA $2,542
- ACTIVATE AMERICA $1,412
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION $115
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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