Primary
Primary held July 21, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Nez | 0 | 0.0% |
Libertarian Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Goodwin | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Alex Flores | 0 | 0.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Crane | 0 | 0.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-15 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Jonathan Nez 41.00% | Eli Crane 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AZ-02 House race?
Eli Crane leads Jonathan Nez 44% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+3.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 AZ-02 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AZ-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from GBAO (D) (completed June 15, 2026), found Jonathan Nez (D) at 41% and Eli Crane (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 AZ-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.