Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Alaska primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-27 | 452 LV | ±7.20 | Dem % | Nick Begich III 52.00% |
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-27 | 452 LV | ±7.20 | Matt Schultz 45.00% | Nick Begich III 55.00% |
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-27 | 452 LV | ±7.20 | Generic Democrat 45.00% | Nick Begich III 55.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AK-AL House race?
Nick Begich III leads Matthew Schultz 55% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+10.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 AK-AL House race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 AK-AL House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Defeated Peltola 2024; ranked-choice voting state
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.