Texas Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary held March 3, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Gina Hinojosa 1,289,576 58.5%
Chris Bell 216,787 9.8%
Angela "Tia Angie" Villescaz 150,752 6.8%
Patricia Abrego 128,632 5.8%
Andrew White 117,392 5.3%
Bobby Cole 112,675 5.1%
Jose Navarro Balbuena 65,826 3.0%
Carlton W. Hart 63,278 2.9%
Zach Vance 58,753 2.7%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Greg Abbott 1,764,924 81.8%
Pete "Doc" Chambers 240,640 11.2%
Evelyn Brooks 44,142 2.0%
Arturo Espinosa 23,444 1.1%
Charles Andrew Crouch 15,405 0.7%
Kenneth Hyde 14,941 0.7%
Nathaniel Welch 12,057 0.6%
Mark V. Goloby 10,991 0.5%
Stephen Samuelson 10,864 0.5%
Ronnie Tullos 10,352 0.5%
R.F. "Bob" Achgill 9,119 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Greg Abbott
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Likely R our polls experts: Safe R
Polls
12 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely R
Our polling average R+6.9 · 12 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Gina Hinojosa Nominee

Democrat

Greg Abbott Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
42.2%
Republican
49.1%
Margin
R+6.9
Last Poll
Jun 27, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 2026-06-27 656 LV ±4.50 Gina Hinojosa 44.00% Greg Abbott 51.00%
NY Times/Siena 2026-06-27 656 LV ±4.50 Hinojosa 44.00% Abbott 51.00%
SoCal Strategies(R) partisan·R 2026-06-21 800 LV Gina Hinojosa 42.00% Greg Abbott 54.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Texas governor's race?

Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa 49.1% to 42.2% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.9 margin based on 12 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Texas governor's race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Texas governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from New York Times/Siena University (completed June 27, 2026), found Gina Hinojosa (D) at 44% and Greg Abbott (R) at 51%.

When is the 2026 Texas governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Seeking third term

Race News