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South Dakota Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary held June 2, 2026.

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Toby Doeden 41,712 30.6%
Larry Rhoden 34,321 25.2%
Dusty Johnson 31,856 23.4%
Jon Hansen 28,341 20.8%

Runoff: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 in 7 days

Full calendar and every race: South Dakota primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Larry Rhoden
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Larry Rhoden Incumbent

Republican

Dan Ahlers

Democrat

Toby Doeden

Republican

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 South Dakota governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 South Dakota governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

NOMINEE PENDING: no Republican candidate reached the 35% threshold in the June 2 primary. A runoff between Casey Doeden and Larry Rhoden — the first in state history — is set for July 28, 2026. Became governor when Noem left for DHS; seeking a full term

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