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Rhode Island Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Rhode Island primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Dan McKee
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe D our polls
Polls
1 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+16.0 · 1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Dan McKee Incumbent

Democrat

Ken Block

Independent

Aaron Guckian

Republican

Elaine Pelino

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
38.0%
Republican
22.0%
Margin
D+16.0
Last Poll
Jun 23, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
University of New Hampshire 2026-06-23 664 LV ±3.90 Helena Foulkes 38.00% Aaron Guckian 22.00%
Emerson College/WPRI-TV ±2.7 2026-05-16 1000 LV ±3.00 Helena Foulkes 39.00% Rep %

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race?

Helena Foulkes leads Aaron Guckian 38% to 22% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+16.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from University of New Hampshire (completed June 23, 2026), found Helena Foulkes (D) at 38% and Aaron Guckian (R) at 22%.

When is the 2026 Rhode Island governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News