Primary
Primary held May 19, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro ✓ | 1,116,960 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stacy Garrity ✓ | 641,534 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Josh Shapiro Nominee
DemocratStacy Garrity Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University ±3.0 | 2026-07-13 | 895 RV | ±4.30 | Josh Shapiro 53.00% | Stacy Garrity 40.00% |
| Quinnipiac | 2026-07-13 | 895 RV | Shapiro 53.00% | Garrity 40.00% | |
| PennLive | 2026-06-25 | 644 RV | ±4.14 | Josh Shapiro 54.00% | Stacy Garrity 29.00% |
| PennLive | 2026-06-25 | 644 LV | ±4.10 | Shapiro 54.00% | Garrity 29.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race?
Josh Shapiro leads Stacy Garrity 52% to 31.4% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+20.6 margin based on 9 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Quinnipiac University (completed July 13, 2026), found Josh Shapiro (D) at 53% and Stacy Garrity (R) at 40%.
When is the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term governor, potential presidential aspirant