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Oregon Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary held May 19, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Tina Kotek 385,999 83.6%
Brittany N. Jones 13,939 3.0%
Forest "Fora" Alexander 12,684 2.8%
Miranda Weigler 10,161 2.2%
Tristan Sheppard 6,006 1.3%
James Atkinson IV 5,902 1.3%
David Beem 4,863 1.1%
Steve Laible 3,692 0.8%
Cal Kishawi 2,422 0.5%
Donnie Beckwith 1,799 0.4%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Christine Drazan 172,474 40.5%
Ed Diehl 140,458 33.0%
Chris Dudley 71,929 16.9%
David Medina 21,742 5.1%
Danielle Bethell 9,629 2.3%
Brad Peters 1,827 0.4%
Paul Romero 1,615 0.4%
Kyle Duyck 1,562 0.4%
Robert Neuman 680 0.2%
Martin Ward 539 0.1%
Hope Dalrymple 534 0.1%
DeAngelo Turner 377 0.1%
Wen Waddell 321 0.1%
Tim Youker 248 0.1%

Full calendar and every race: Oregon primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Tina Kotek
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean R our polls experts: Lean D
Polls
2 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean R
Our polling average R+4.0 · 2 polls
⚑ Our polls diverge from the expert consensus — the story to watch.

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Lean D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Tina Kotek Nominee

Democrat

Christine Drazan Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
44.0%
Republican
48.0%
Margin
R+4.0
Last Poll
Jun 24, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Public Opinion Strategies (R) partisan·R 2026-06-24 600 RV ±4.00 Tina Kotek 44.00% Christine Drazan 48.00%
Hoffman Research Group (R) partisan·R 2026-05-12 603 LV ±4.00 Tina Kotek 44.00% Chris Dudley 48.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Oregon governor's race?

Christine Drazan leads Tina Kotek 48% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+4.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Oregon governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean R) diverges from the expert consensus (Lean D) — that gap makes this a race to watch.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Oregon governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Public Opinion Strategies (R) (completed June 24, 2026), found Tina Kotek (D) at 44% and Christine Drazan (R) at 48%.

When is the 2026 Oregon governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term governor

Race News