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New York Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary held June 23, 2026 — results pending.

Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Kathy Hochul
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe D our polls
Polls
4 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+13.0 · 4 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Kathy Hochul Incumbent

Democrat

Bruce Blakeman

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
49.5%
Republican
36.5%
Margin
D+13.0
Last Poll
Jul 2, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
co/efficient (R) partisan·R 2026-07-02 1085 LV ±3.00 Kathy Hochul 47.00% Bruce Blakeman 41.00%
Siena College 2026-06-23 1120 RV ±3.60 Kathy Hochul 52.00% Bruce Blakeman 32.00%
Pollfinity Research 2026-06-14 229 RV ±6.50 Kathy Hochul 50.00% Bruce Blakeman 40.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 New York governor's race?

Kathy Hochul leads Bruce Blakeman 49.5% to 36.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+13.0 margin based on 4 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 New York governor's race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 New York governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from co/efficient (R) (completed July 2, 2026), found Kathy Hochul (D) at 47% and Bruce Blakeman (R) at 41%.

When is the 2026 New York governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Seeking second full term

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.