New Hampshire Governor Race 2026

Name: New Hampshire 2026 Governor Election
Start: 2026-11-03
Location: New Hampshire

Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Full calendar and every race: New Hampshire primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent

Kelly Ayotte

Party

Republican

Open Seat

Current Rating

Likely R our polls

Polls

2 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely R

Our polling average R+6.5 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

General Election Polling Average

Democrat

38.0%

Republican

44.5%

Margin

R+6.5

Last Poll

Jun 25, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster	Date	Sample	MoE	Dem	Rep
Saint Anselm College	2026-06-25	1614 RV	±2.40	Cinde Warmington 37.00%	Kelly Ayotte 45.00%
University of New Hampshire	2026-06-23	2232 LV	±2.10	Cinde Warmington 39.00%	Kelly Ayotte 44.00%

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Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race?

Kelly Ayotte leads Cinde Warmington 44.5% to 38% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+6.5 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Saint Anselm College (completed June 25, 2026), found Cinde Warmington (D) at 37% and Kelly Ayotte (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 New Hampshire governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term governor (2-year terms); seeking re-election

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

PollingSource

New Hampshire Governor Race