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Minnesota Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Minnesota primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Tim Walz
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Likely D our polls experts: Lean D
Polls
2 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely D
Our polling average D+8.0 · 2 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Lean D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Bill Gates

Democrat

Kobey Layne

Democrat

Ole Savior

Democrat

Po Vang

Democrat

John Krhin

Republican

Kendall Qualls

Republican

Lisa Demuth

Republican

Loner Blue

Republican

Mike Lindell

Republican

Raul Estrada

Republican

Ross Nova

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
48.0%
Republican
40.0%
Margin
D+8.0
Last Poll
Jun 10, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy 2026-06-10 800 LV ±3.50 Amy Klobuchar 48.00% Lisa Demuth 40.00%
Minnesota Star Tribune 2026-06-10 800 LV ±3.50 Amy Klobuchar 48.00% Lisa Demuth 40.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Minnesota governor's race?

Amy Klobuchar leads Lisa Demuth 48% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+8.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Minnesota governor's race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Minnesota governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy (completed June 10, 2026), found Amy Klobuchar (D) at 48% and Lisa Demuth (R) at 40%.

When is the 2026 Minnesota governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

No MN term limits; Walz seeking a third term

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.