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Iowa Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary held June 2, 2026.

Democratic Primary

CandidateVotes%
Rob Sand 189,442 99.6%

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Zach Lahn 80,765 37.7%
Randy Feenstra 79,113 36.9%
Adam Steen 31,087 14.5%
Brad Sherman 15,076 7.0%
Eddie Andrews 7,694 3.6%

Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Kim Reynolds)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Lean D our polls experts: Safe R
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+5.0 · 3 polls
⚑ Our polls diverge from the expert consensus — the story to watch.

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Rob Sand Nominee

Democrat

Zach Lahn Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
49.7%
Republican
44.7%
Margin
D+5.0
Last Poll
Jun 27, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R) ±2.3 2026-06-27 1003 RV ±3.00 Rob Sand 53.00% Zach Lahn 44.00%
New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 2026-06-27 600 LV ±4.70 Rob Sand 48.00% Zach Lahn 47.00%
Cygnal (R) partisan·R ±4.2 2026-06-19 600 LV ±4.00 Rob Sand 48.00% Zach Lahn 43.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Iowa governor's race?

Rob Sand leads Zach Lahn 49.7% to 44.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on 3 polls from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 Iowa governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Safe R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Iowa governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R) (completed June 27, 2026), found Rob Sand (D) at 53% and Zach Lahn (R) at 44%.

When is the 2026 Iowa governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

Race News