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Hawaii Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Primary election: Saturday, August 8, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Hawaii primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Josh Green
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 Hawaii governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 Hawaii governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News