Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
David Jolly
DemocratDayna Marie Foster
DemocratDotie Joseph
DemocratEvelyn Castillo-Bach
DemocratStephann Norman
DemocratThomas Eloy Fernandez
DemocratDean Ocean Abrams
IndependentFrank J. Russo
IndependentJeffery Peter "Dr. Jeff" Datto
IndependentScott Jewett
LibertarianArthur Joseph McCaffrey
RepublicanBobby Williams
RepublicanByron Donalds
RepublicanCaneste Succe
RepublicanDaniel Nokovich
RepublicanJames Fishback
RepublicanJames Walker Shaw
RepublicanJay Collins
RepublicanJim Holcomb
RepublicanPaul Renner
RepublicanRachel Rodriguez
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research partisan·D | 2026-07-11 | 1004 LV | David Jolly 46.00% | Bryon Donalds 40.00% | |
| Change Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-11 | 1348 RV | ±2.80 | David Jolly 37.00% | Byron Donalds 37.00% |
| Change Research partisan·D | 2026-06-14 | 1015 LV | David Jolly 49.00% | Byron Donalds 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Florida governor's race?
Bryon Donalds leads David Jolly 42.8% to 42.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+0.1 margin based on 6 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Florida governor's race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Florida governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Change Research (completed July 11, 2026), found David Jolly (D) at 46% and Bryon Donalds (R) at 40%.
When is the 2026 Florida governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat