Primary
Primary held July 21, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs | 0 | 0.0% |
Green Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Risa Lombardo | 0 | 0.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Miceli | 0 | 0.0% | |
| David Schweikert | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Andy Biggs | 0 | 0.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Katie Hobbs Incumbent
DemocratRisa Lombardo
GreenHugh Lytle
IndependentTeri Hourihan
IndependentBarry Hess
LibertarianAndy Biggs
RepublicanDavid Schweikert
RepublicanKen Miceli
RepublicanScott Neely
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights ±4.0 | 2026-05-07 | 996 RV | ±3.10 | Katie Hobbs 41.00% | Andy Biggs 37.00% |
| TIPP Insights (R) partisan·R ±2.5 | 2026-04-24 | 1159 LV | ±3.20 | Katie Hobbs 48.00% | Andy Biggs 38.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Arizona governor's race?
Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs 44.5% to 37.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+7.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Arizona governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arizona governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Noble Predictive Insights (completed May 7, 2026), found Katie Hobbs (D) at 41% and Andy Biggs (R) at 37%.
When is the 2026 Arizona governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term, won by narrow margin